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Truth Revealed | Dr. Ibrahim Shaglawi Alamein Summit and the New Security Map

The President of the Transitional Sovereignty Council and Army Commander, Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, is participating today, Sunday, in the consultative Alamein Summit, which brings together Sudan, Egypt, Eritrea, and Somalia to discuss regional developments and common security interests. The summit comes at a sensitive time, amid escalating Ethiopian–Eritrean tensions and renewed fighting in Tigray, coinciding with military operations in the Blue Nile along the Ethiopian border, giving the summit significance that goes beyond political consultation to the regional security map.

However, the significance of Al-Burhan’s visit lies in the timing of the summit. The regional scene is moving rapidly, and security lines that once appeared separate have begun to intersect. The war in Sudan, Ethiopian–Eritrean tensions, and the security of the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa have all become components of the region’s equation.

Therefore, the Alamein Summit does not appear to be an ordinary meeting at an ordinary time. The Egyptian presidency announced it as a consultative summit for coordination on regional issues of common interest, but reading between the lines suggests that the meeting comes at a complex moment in which the security environment of the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea is being reshaped, while several crises intersect at one point: Sudan, Ethiopia, and regional security.

In Ethiopia, fighting returned to Tigray in late September, in the most serious escalation since the 2020–2022 war, and government forces regained control of Mekelle Airport, while concerns are growing that the internal confrontation could turn into a regional conflict. The dispute is no longer merely Ethiopian internal affairs, given that Addis Ababa severed its diplomatic relations with Eritrea and accused Asmara, along with Sudan and Egypt, of supporting the opposition alliance, allegations that the parties concerned deny.

But the most important development for Sudan is taking place on the other side of Blue Nile State. In recent days, military operations near the border have escalated, and the Sudanese army announced yesterday that it had retaken the areas of Minza and Bashkarkad and dealt a decisive blow to the Rapid Support Forces militia, according to sources. These developments confirm that this front is no longer marginal to the Sudanese war, but has become one of its most sensitive areas due to its border location.

Here lies the significance of the Alamein Summit: it is being held as three security lines intersect—the war in Sudan, the Ethiopian–Eritrean conflict, and Red Sea security.

Therefore, treating the Blue Nile as merely a military front within the Sudanese war would be an incomplete reading. The region lies at a highly sensitive border intersection, and any change in the balance of power there affects Ethiopia, just as any instability inside Ethiopia will have political, security, and humanitarian repercussions for Sudan. When these developments coincide with tensions over Ethiopia’s insistence on gaining access to the Red Sea, geography turns into politics.

From this perspective, the choice of the Alamein Summit countries can be understood: Egypt, Sudan, Eritrea, and Somalia. They lie along a system that begins at the Nile and the Sudanese borders and extends through the Red Sea to Bab el-Mandeb and the Gulf of Aden. Egypt gains particular importance as an alternative route for Saudi oil through the Red Sea to the Mediterranean, away from Houthi threats, while Sudan, Eritrea, and Somalia represent geographical and security depth for protecting the Red Sea and its vital waterways.

For Khartoum, the Alamein Summit should be an opportunity to move from being affected by events to becoming a partner in shaping regional security arrangements, by affirming that its sovereignty, territorial integrity, and border security are part of the security of the region, and that Red Sea security begins with Sudan’s security. The Blue Nile region gains particular importance as a point of contact with Ethiopia and Eritrea, which calls for regional arrangements to prevent the flow of weapons and fighters and to limit any cross-border movements.

This can be compared with the Mecca Agreement between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, which revealed a clear transformation in the region. States are no longer content with political coordination; they are seeking arrangements that protect their interests and security through their own capabilities and partnerships. This means that Sudan has an opportunity to move in the same direction in a way that protects its interests by participating in shaping the security rules of its surroundings; otherwise, it will find itself subject to arrangements made by others. Therefore, Sudan needs a clear vision for Red Sea security that protects its sovereignty and borders, prevents interference, secures maritime routes, and makes security a gateway to stability, development, and reconstruction.

According to #Truth_Revealed, the Alamein Summit and the new security map place the country before a reality that cannot be postponed: its position between the Nile Valley, the Horn of Africa, and the Red Sea is no longer merely a geographical advantage, but has become part of the regional security equation. Therefore, Sudan should not be content with being a subject in the calculations of others; rather, it should turn its geographical position into a role, its sovereignty into a position, and its borders into a shared regional responsibility.

The new map is being drawn now, and true politics means that Sudan should be a partner in drawing it, not an arena for its repercussions.

Wishing you continued health and well-being

Sunday, October 4, 2026. Shglawi55@gmail.com

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